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Fixed Income Commentary

Intriguing RV graphs: Will curbing JGB supply reverse rise in 10yr JGB yield?

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Intriguing RV graphs: Will curbing JGB supply reverse rise in 10yr JGB yield?      

Key points
  • Pronounced rise in 10yr JGB yield; some anticipating BoJ will halt JGB purchase reductions or MoF will reduce issuance of 10yr JGBs

  • Even if such measures to improve supply/demand were implemented, still looks difficult to resolve current 10yr JGB yield rise driven by concerns about the BoJ falling behind the curve

  • Unlike super-long JGB situation this time last year, the ongoing rise in 10yr JGB yield cannot be attributed to reduced liquidity, supply/demand

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