Forecasts

Our global economic and financial forecasts

Find out what our economists and strategists are expecting over coming quarters.

We finished second in the latest Bloomberg FX Forecast Accuracy Poll for G10 FX & 13 FX Majors in Q4 2025.

Latest FX forecast update: 01 July 2026
G10 GDP & CPI update: 23 June 2026

  • FX Rates

     

    Q3 2026

    Q4 2026

    Q1 2027

    Q2 2027

    DXY

    99.770

    98.190

    96.630

    96.410

    USD/JPY

    160.00

    158.00

    156.00

    154.00

    EUR/USD

    1.1600

    1.1800

    1.2000

    1.2000

    GBP/USD

    1.3260

    1.3410

    1.3560

    1.3480

    USD/CNY

    6.7000

    6.6500

    6.6000

    6.6000

    AUD/USD

    0.7000

    0.7100

    0.7200

    0.7300

    NZD/USD

    0.5700

    0.5800

    0.5900

    0.6000

    USD/CAD

    1.4000

    1.3800

    1.3600

    1.3500

    USD/NOK

    9.741

    9.492

    9.333

    9.250

    USD/SEK

    9.483

    9.237

    9.000

    8.917

    USD/CHF

    0.7930

    0.7800

    0.7630

    0.7580

     

     

     

     

     

    USD/CZK

    20.860

    20.420

    20.000

    19.920

    USD/HUF

    306.00

    300.80

    291.70

    287.50

    USD/PLN

    3.6720

    3.5930

    3.5170

    3.5170

    USD/RON

    4.5170

    4.4660

    4.4170

    4.4330

    USD/RUB

    76.49

    77.71

    77.98

    80.73

    USD/ZAR

    16.600

    16.400

    16.200

    16.000

    USD/TRY

    49.000

    51.500

    53.000

    54.500

     

     

     

     

     

    USD/INR

    92.500

    93.000

    94.000

    95.000

    USD/IDR

    18100

    18350

    18500

    18700

    USD/MYR

    4.1000

    4.1500

    4.1000

    4.0000

    USD/PHP

    61.500

    61.000

    60.500

    60.000

    USD/SGD

    1.3100

    1.3200

    1.3000

    1.2700

    USD/KRW

    1520.0

    1500.0

    1480.0

    1460.0

    USD/TWD

    31.600

    31.300

    31.100

    30.900

    USD/THB

    33.800

    34.400

    34.000

    33.800

    USD/VND

    26400

    26500

    26600

    26700

     

     

     

     

     

    USD/ARS

    1525.0

    1575.00

    1625.0

    1675.0

    USD/BRL

    5.2000

    5.1000

    5.0000

    4.9000

    USD/CLP

    900.00

    890.00

    880.00

    870.00

    USD/MXN

    17.500

    17.500

    17.250

    17.250

     

     

     

     

     

    USD/SAR

    3.7500

    3.7500

    3.7500

    3.7500

    USD/EGP

    49.750

    51.000

    52.500

    54.000

  • Growth (GDP)

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    US

    2.1%

    1.9%

    1.8%

    Japan (FY)

    0.8%

    0.5%

    0.7%

    Euro area

    1.4%

    0.5%

    1.1%

       Germany

    0.2%

    0.4%

    1.0%

       France

    0.8%

    0.7%

    0.8%

       Italy

    0.5%

    0.6%

    0.8%

    UK

    1.4%

    1.1%

    1.0%

    Switzerland

    1.4%

    1.2%

    1.5%

    Norway

    1.7%

    1.4%

    1.7%

    Sweden

    1.7%

    1.6%

    1.8%

    Canada

    1.9%

    0.9%

    1.6%

    Australia

    2.0%

    2.1%

    2.1%

    New Zealand

    0.2%

    1.9%

    2.3%

     

     

     

     

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    China

    5.0%

    4.7%

    4.7%

    India

    7.6%

    6.8%

    6.7%

    Indonesia

    5.1%

    5.3%

    5.0%

    Malaysia

    5.2%

    4.8%

    5.0%

    Philippines

    4.7%

    3.5%

    5.0%

    Singapore

    5.0%

    3.6%

    2.8%

    South Korea

    1.0%

    2.4%

    2.0%

    Taiwan

    8.6%

    8.0%

    3.7%

    Thailand

    2.4%

    1.7%

    2.0%

    Vietnam

    7.7%

    7.9%

    8.2%

     

     

     

     

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    Bahrain

    3.0%

    -0.3%

    3.7%

    Czech Republic

    2.5%

    2.3%

    2.4%

    Egypt

    4.4%

    4.5%

    5.0%

    Hungary

    0.4%

    1.8%

    2.3%

    Iraq

    -0.4%

    -6.8%

    5.7%

    Israel

    3.0%

    3.5%

    4.3%

    Jordan

    2.7%

    2.7%

    3.1%

    Kenya

    4.9%

    4.8%

    5.0%

    Kuwait

    3.1%

    0.4%

    3.1%

    Morocco

    4.9%

    4.5%

    4.4%

    Nigeria

    4.0%

    4.1%

    4.4%

    Oman

    2.4%

    3.4%

    3.1%

    Poland

    3.5%

    3.5%

    2.7%

    Romania

    0.8%

    0.8%

    2.5%

    Qatar

    2.8%

    -4.6%

    7.8%

    Russia

    0.7%

    1.0%

    1.2%

    Saudi Arabia

    4.5%

    3.6%

    4.1%

    South Africa

    1.2%

    1.3%

    1.5%

    Turkey

    3.7%

    3.4%

    3.7%

    Ukraine

    1.8%

    2.0%

    3.3%

    UAE

    5.3%

    3.9%

    4.8%

  • Inflation (CPI)

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    US

    2.7%

    3.5%

    2.6%

    Japan (FY)

    3.2%

    2.4%

    2.3%

    Euro area

    2.1%

    2.8%

    2.1%

       Germany

    2.3%

    2.7%

    2.3%

       France

    0.9%

    2.0%

    1.8%

       Italy

    1.6%

    2.7%

    1.9%

    UK

    3.4%

    3.2%

    2.4%

    Switzerland

    0.2%

    0.7%

    0.8%

    Norway

    3.1%

    3.2%

    2.5%

    Sweden

    0.7%

    0.9%

    1.6%

    Canada

    2.1%

    2.7%

    2.2%

    Australia

    2.8%

    4.5%

    3.1%

    New Zealand

    2.8%

    3.8%

    2.3%

     

     

     

     

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    China

    0.1%

    1.3%

    1.2%

    India

    1.6%

    4.6%

    4.3%

    Indonesia

    1.9%

    3.0%

    2.8%

    Malaysia

    1.6%

    1.7%

    1.8%

    Philippines

    1.8%

    5.2%

    3.9%

    Singapore

    0.9%

    2.2%

    2.0%

    South Korea

    2.1%

    2.5%

    2.0%

    Taiwan

    1.5%

    2.0%

    1.6%

    Thailand

    -0.1%

    2.4%

    1.4%

    Vietnam

    3.3%

    4.9%

    4.3%

     

     

     

     

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    Bahrain

    0.0%

    1.8%

    1.4%

    Czech Republic

    2.5%

    2.3%

    2.2%

    Egypt

    17.4%

    12.6%

    10.6%

    Hungary

    4.5%

    3.5%

    3.5%

    Iraq 

    0.3%

    3.0%

    1.6%

    Israel

    3.0%

    2.2%

    2.0%

    Jordan 

    1.8%

    2.1%

    2.1%

    Kenya

    4.1%

    5.5%

    5.6%

    Kuwait 

    2.4%

    2.6%

    2.5%

    Morocco

    1.0%

    1.8%

    1.6%

    Nigeria

    22.1%

    15.0%

    14.0%

    Oman

    1.0%

    1.6%

    1.7%

    Poland

    3.6%

    3.2%

    2.9%

    Romania

    7.3%

    7.4%

    3.7%

    Qatar

    0.5%

    3.2%

    2.3%

    Russia

    8.7%

    5.7%

    4.4%

    Saudi Arabia

    2.1%

    2.1%

    2.1%

    South Africa

    3.2%

    3.7%

    3.4%

    Turkey

    34.9%

    28.7%

    21.2%

    Ukraine

    12.8%

    6.7%

    7.2%

    UAE

    1.4%

    2.5%

    2.1%

  • Policy Rates

     

    Q3 2026

    Q4 2026

    Q1 2027

    Q2 2027

    Fed

    3.63%

    3.38%

    3.13%

    3.13%

    BoJ

    1.25%

    1.25%

    1.50%

    1.50%

    ECB

    2.50%

    2.50%

    2.50%

    2.50%

    BoE

    3.75%

    3.75%

    3.50%

    3.50%

    SNB

    0.00%

    0.00%

    0.00%

    0.00%

    Norges Bank

    4.50%

    4.50%

    4.50%

    4.25%

    Riksbank

    1.75%

    2.00%

    2.00%

    2.00%

    BoC

    2.25%

    2.25%

    2.25%

    2.25%

    RBA

    4.35%

    4.35%

    4.35%

    4.35%

    RBNZ

    2.50%

    2.75%

    2.75%

    3.00%

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Q3 2026

    Q4 2026

    Q1 2027

    Q2 2027

    China 7-day Reverse Repo

    1.40%

    1.40%

    1.40%

    1.40%

    China 1-year LPR

    3.00%

    3.00%

    3.00%

    3.00%

    India

    5.25%

    5.50%

    5.75%

    5.75%

    Indonesia

    6.25%

    6.25%

    6.25%

    6.00%

    Malaysia

    2.75%

    2.75%

    2.75%

    2.75%

    Philippines

    5.00%

    5.25%

    5.25%

    5.00%

    Singapore

    1.30%

    1.36%

    1.40%

    1.40%

    South Korea

    2.75%

    3.00%

    3.00%

    3.00%

    Taiwan

    2.00%

    2.00%

    2.00%

    2.00%

    Thailand

    1.00%

    1.00%

    1.00%

    1.00%

    Vietnam

    4.50%

    4.75%

    4.75%

    4.75%

     

     

     

     

     

  • Govt. Bond Yields

     

    Q2 2026

    Q3 2026

    Q4 2026

    Q1 2027

    US 2-Year Govt. Yield

    3.88%

    3.50%

    3.25%

    3.13%

    US 10-Year Govt. Yield

    4.38%

    4.13%

    4.00%

    3.88%

     

     

     

     

     

    Euro-zone 2-Year Govt. Yield

    2.70%

    2.60%

    2.60%

    2.40%

    Euro-zone 10-Year Govt. Yield

    3.10%

    3.00%

    2.90%

    2.70%

     

     

     

     

     

    Japan 2-Year Govt. Yield

    1.40%

    1.50%

    1.60%

    1.70%

    Japan 10-Year Govt. Yield

    2.50%

    2.50%

    2.60%

    2.60%

     

     

     

     

     

    UK 2-Year Govt. Yield

    4.40%

    4.30%

    3.90%

    3.60%

    UK 10-Year Govt. Yield

    5.00%

    5.00%

    4.80%

    4.50%

     

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I also understand that all materials on this website are not investment research or investment advice.