Forecasts

Our global economic and financial forecasts

Find out what our economists and strategists are expecting over coming quarters.

We finished second in the latest Bloomberg FX Forecast Accuracy Poll for G10 FX & 13 FX Majors in Q4 2025.

Latest FX forecast update: 03 August 2026
G10 GDP & CPI update: 23 June 2026

  • FX Rates

     

    Q3 2026

    Q4 2026

    Q1 2027

    Q2 2027

    DXY

    100.860

    99.290

    97.740

    96.190

    USD/JPY

    158.00

    156.00

    154.00

    152.00

    EUR/USD

    1.1400

    1.1600

    1.1800

    1.2000

    GBP/USD

    1.3260

    1.3330

    1.3490

    1.3640

    USD/CNY

    6.7000

    6.6500

    6.6000

    6.6000

    AUD/USD

    0.7000

    0.7100

    0.7200

    0.7300

    NZD/USD

    0.5700

    0.5800

    0.5900

    0.6000

    USD/CAD

    1.4100

    1.3900

    1.3800

    1.3600

    USD/NOK

    9.737

    9.655

    9.492

    9.250

    USD/SEK

    9.649

    9.397

    9.153

    8.917

    USD/CHF

    0.8200

    0.8020

    0.7800

    0.7630

     

     

     

     

     

    USD/CZK

    21.140

    20.690

    20.250

    19.830

    USD/HUF

    315.80

    306.00

    296.60

    291.70

    USD/PLN

    3.7890

    3.7070

    3.6270

    3.5500

    USD/RON

    4.5960

    4.5430

    4.4920

    4.4330

    USD/RUB

    79.02

    79.29

    79.56

    80.73

    USD/ZAR

    16.700

    16.500

    16.300

    16.000

    USD/TRY

    49.000

    51.500

    53.500

    55.000

     

     

     

     

     

    USD/INR

    94.000

    94.500

    95.500

    96.500

    USD/IDR

    18100

    18350

    18500

    18700

    USD/MYR

    4.1000

    4.1500

    4.1000

    4.0000

    USD/PHP

    61.750

    61.500

    61.000

    60.500

    USD/SGD

    1.2900

    1.2900

    1.2850

    1.2700

    USD/KRW

    1440.0

    1420.0

    1400.0

    1380.0

    USD/TWD

    32.100

    31.800

    31.600

    31.400

    USD/THB

    33.800

    34.400

    34.000

    33.800

    USD/VND

    26400

    26500

    26600

    26700

     

     

     

     

     

    USD/ARS

    1525.0

    1575.00

    1625.0

    1675.0

    USD/BRL

    5.2000

    5.1000

    5.0000

    4.9000

    USD/CLP

    920.00

    910.00

    880.00

    870.00

    USD/MXN

    17.500

    17.500

    17.250

    17.250

     

     

     

     

     

    USD/SAR

    3.7500

    3.7500

    3.7500

    3.7500

    USD/EGP

    49.750

    51.000

    52.500

    54.000

  • Growth (GDP)

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    US

    2.1%

    1.9%

    1.8%

    Japan (FY)

    0.8%

    0.5%

    0.7%

    Euro area

    1.4%

    0.5%

    1.1%

       Germany

    0.2%

    0.4%

    1.0%

       France

    0.8%

    0.7%

    0.8%

       Italy

    0.5%

    0.6%

    0.8%

    UK

    1.4%

    1.1%

    1.0%

    Switzerland

    1.4%

    1.2%

    1.5%

    Norway

    1.7%

    1.4%

    1.7%

    Sweden

    1.7%

    1.6%

    1.8%

    Canada

    1.9%

    0.9%

    1.6%

    Australia

    2.0%

    2.1%

    2.1%

    New Zealand

    0.2%

    1.9%

    2.3%

     

     

     

     

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    China

    5.0%

    4.7%

    4.7%

    India

    7.6%

    6.8%

    6.7%

    Indonesia

    5.1%

    5.3%

    5.0%

    Malaysia

    5.2%

    4.8%

    5.0%

    Philippines

    4.7%

    3.5%

    5.0%

    Singapore

    5.0%

    3.6%

    2.8%

    South Korea

    1.0%

    2.8%

    2.2%

    Taiwan

    8.6%

    9.8%

    3.7%

    Thailand

    2.4%

    2.0%

    2.0%

    Vietnam

    7.7%

    8.8%

    8.2%

     

     

     

     

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    Bahrain

    3.0%

    -0.3%

    3.7%

    Czech Republic

    2.5%

    2.3%

    2.4%

    Egypt

    4.4%

    4.5%

    5.0%

    Hungary

    0.4%

    1.8%

    2.3%

    Iraq

    -0.4%

    -6.8%

    5.7%

    Israel

    3.0%

    3.5%

    4.3%

    Jordan

    2.7%

    2.7%

    3.1%

    Kenya

    4.9%

    4.8%

    5.0%

    Kuwait

    3.1%

    0.4%

    3.1%

    Morocco

    4.9%

    4.5%

    4.4%

    Nigeria

    4.0%

    4.1%

    4.4%

    Oman

    2.4%

    3.4%

    3.1%

    Poland

    3.5%

    3.5%

    2.7%

    Romania

    0.8%

    0.8%

    2.5%

    Qatar

    2.8%

    -4.6%

    7.8%

    Russia

    0.7%

    1.0%

    1.2%

    Saudi Arabia

    4.5%

    3.6%

    4.1%

    South Africa

    1.2%

    1.3%

    1.5%

    Turkey

    3.7%

    3.4%

    3.7%

    Ukraine

    1.8%

    2.0%

    3.3%

    UAE

    5.3%

    3.9%

    4.8%

  • Inflation (CPI)

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    US

    2.7%

    3.5%

    2.6%

    Japan (FY)

    3.2%

    2.4%

    2.3%

    Euro area

    2.1%

    2.8%

    2.1%

       Germany

    2.3%

    2.7%

    2.3%

       France

    0.9%

    2.0%

    1.8%

       Italy

    1.6%

    2.7%

    1.9%

    UK

    3.4%

    3.2%

    2.4%

    Switzerland

    0.2%

    0.7%

    0.8%

    Norway

    3.1%

    3.2%

    2.5%

    Sweden

    0.7%

    0.9%

    1.6%

    Canada

    2.1%

    2.7%

    2.2%

    Australia

    2.8%

    4.5%

    3.1%

    New Zealand

    2.8%

    3.8%

    2.3%

     

     

     

     

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    China

    0.1%

    1.2%

    1.2%

    India

    1.6%

    5.0%

    4.4%

    Indonesia

    1.9%

    3.0%

    2.8%

    Malaysia

    1.6%

    1.7%

    1.8%

    Philippines

    1.8%

    5.4%

    3.9%

    Singapore

    0.9%

    2.0%

    2.0%

    South Korea

    2.1%

    2.7%

    2.1%

    Taiwan

    1.5%

    2.0%

    1.7%

    Thailand

    -0.1%

    2.1%

    1.4%

    Vietnam

    3.3%

    4.7%

    4.6%

     

     

     

     

     

    2025

    2026

    2027

    Bahrain

    0.0%

    1.8%

    1.4%

    Czech Republic

    2.5%

    2.3%

    2.2%

    Egypt

    17.4%

    12.6%

    10.6%

    Hungary

    4.5%

    3.5%

    3.5%

    Iraq 

    0.3%

    3.0%

    1.6%

    Israel

    3.0%

    2.2%

    2.0%

    Jordan 

    1.8%

    2.1%

    2.1%

    Kenya

    4.1%

    5.5%

    5.6%

    Kuwait 

    2.4%

    2.6%

    2.5%

    Morocco

    1.0%

    1.8%

    1.6%

    Nigeria

    22.1%

    15.0%

    14.0%

    Oman

    1.0%

    1.6%

    1.7%

    Poland

    3.6%

    3.2%

    2.9%

    Romania

    7.3%

    7.4%

    3.7%

    Qatar

    0.5%

    3.2%

    2.3%

    Russia

    8.7%

    5.7%

    4.4%

    Saudi Arabia

    2.1%

    2.1%

    2.1%

    South Africa

    3.2%

    3.7%

    3.4%

    Turkey

    34.9%

    28.7%

    21.2%

    Ukraine

    12.8%

    6.7%

    7.2%

    UAE

    1.4%

    2.5%

    2.1%

  • Policy Rates

     

    Q3 2026

    Q4 2026

    Q1 2027

    Q2 2027

    Fed

    3.63%

    3.38%

    3.13%

    3.13%

    BoJ

    1.25%

    1.25%

    1.50%

    1.50%

    ECB

    2.50%

    2.50%

    2.50%

    2.50%

    BoE

    3.75%

    3.75%

    3.50%

    3.50%

    SNB

    0.00%

    0.00%

    0.00%

    0.00%

    Norges Bank

    4.50%

    4.50%

    4.50%

    4.25%

    Riksbank

    1.75%

    2.00%

    2.00%

    2.00%

    BoC

    2.25%

    2.25%

    2.25%

    2.25%

    RBA

    4.35%

    4.35%

    4.35%

    4.35%

    RBNZ

    2.50%

    2.75%

    2.75%

    3.00%

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Q3 2026

    Q4 2026

    Q1 2027

    Q2 2027

    China 7-day Reverse Repo

    1.40%

    1.40%

    1.40%

    1.40%

    China 1-year LPR

    3.00%

    3.00%

    3.00%

    3.00%

    India

    5.25%

    5.50%

    5.75%

    5.75%

    Indonesia

    6.25%

    6.25%

    6.25%

    6.00%

    Malaysia

    2.75%

    2.75%

    2.75%

    2.75%

    Philippines

    5.00%

    5.25%

    5.25%

    5.00%

    Singapore

    1.30%

    1.36%

    1.40%

    1.40%

    South Korea

    2.75%

    3.00%

    3.00%

    3.00%

    Taiwan

    2.00%

    2.00%

    2.00%

    2.00%

    Thailand

    1.00%

    1.00%

    1.00%

    1.00%

    Vietnam

    4.50%

    4.75%

    4.75%

    4.75%

     

     

     

     

     

  • Govt. Bond Yields

     

    Q3 2026

    Q4 2026

    Q1 2027

    Q2 2027

    US 2-Year Govt. Yield

    3.88%

    3.50%

    3.25%

    3.13%

    US 10-Year Govt. Yield

    4.25%

    4.13%

    4.00%

    3.88%

     

     

     

     

     

    Euro-zone 2-Year Govt. Yield

    2.70%

    2.60%

    2.60%

    2.40%

    Euro-zone 10-Year Govt. Yield

    2.90%

    2.90%

    2.80%

    2.60%

     

     

     

     

     

    Japan 2-Year Govt. Yield

    1.40%

    1.50%

    1.60%

    1.70%

    Japan 10-Year Govt. Yield

    2.70%

    2.60%

    2.60%

    2.50%

     

     

     

     

     

    UK 2-Year Govt. Yield

    4.30%

    4.20%

    3.90%

    3.60%

    UK 10-Year Govt. Yield

    4.80%

    4.70%

    4.50%

    4.40%

     

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I also understand that all materials on this website are not investment research or investment advice.