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Fixed Income Commentary

Intriguing RV graphs: Future of widening Eurozone/Japan yield gaps amid Middle East tensions

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Intriguing RV graphs: Future of widening Eurozone/Japan yield gaps amid Middle East tensions

Key points
  • Widening Eurozone/Japan yield gap (= Eurozone minus Japan), which has expanded since tensions in Middle East escalated, showing signs of peaking; JGB yields rose sharply last week

  • Dubai crude oil price surged, following rise for European natural gas prices; Eurozone/Japan energy price sensitivity may not differ significantly

  • Positions tied to narrowing Eurozone/Japan yield gap likely to hold up even if Middle East tensions escalate further; room for optimization when selecting maturities

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