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Fixed Income Commentary

Intriguing RV graphs: Impact of coordinated Japan-US forex intervention on JGB market

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Intriguing RV graphs: Impact of coordinated Japan-US forex intervention on JGB market      

Key points
  • Apparent coordinated Japan-US yen-buying intervention; yen appreciation to lower long-term yields via reduced inflation expectations

  • Sustained yield declines should hinge on whether the yen's depreciation has been driven by fundamentals

  • Interest rate differentials excluding term premium support a weaker yen from fundamental perspective; sustained yield declines unlikely unless concerns about the BoJ falling behind the curve ease

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