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Fixed Income Commentary

Questions about the JGB curve: Localized instances of downward sloping yields

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Questions about the JGB curve: Localized instances of downward sloping yields      

Key points
  • Localized instances of downward sloping yields seen at long end of JGB curve, particularly within off-the-run 40-year segment

  • We attribute this anomaly at least partly to scarcity and investor preference for specific issues

  • Supply/demand dynamics in 40-year sector suggest yield anomaly will persist, and even if it resolves, a positively sloped yield profile is likely to be some way off

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