Fixed Income Commentary

Intriguing RV graphs: Structural changes for "oligopolistic" JGB market

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Intriguing RV graphs: Structural changes for "oligopolistic" JGB market

Key points
  • We analyzed diversity of JGB market using Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), which measures degree of industry oligopoly/monopoly
  • HHI has been rising in recent years (= ongoing oligopolization of JGB market); trading activity heavily skewed toward overseas investors; could be factor contributing to increased yield volatility
  • While launch of Japan's new administration may stabilize markets over short term, if oligopolistic tendencies persist, environment may remain conducive to rising volatility

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