Fixed Income Commentary

Intriguing RV graphs: What persistent inflation concerns suggest

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Intriguing RV graphs: What persistent inflation concerns suggest

Key points
  • Considering Lower House election polls, market likely pricing in outcome in which LDP secures outright majority (or ruling coalition secures majority)

  • Despite recent yen appreciation, market’s inflation expectations have not declined; meanwhile, limited strengthening of concerns about fiscal deterioration

  • Could be reflecting market view that inflationary pressures difficult to avoid, even if LDP wins and fiscal deterioration can be avoided

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