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Fixed Income Commentary

Intriguing RV graphs: Yield curve steepener or flattener after BoJ's June meeting

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Intriguing RV graphs: Yield curve steepener or flattener after BoJ's June meeting      

Key points
  • JGB yield curve at a crossroads between a steepener and a flattener; trend reversal likely to hinge on BoJ's stance on rate hikes

  • Even though BEI of just over 2% suggests trend reversal approaching, if perception that government is exerting influence persists, trend reversal could still be far off

  • We see no need to rush into flattener trades; based on experiences in Europe/US, it should not be too late to wait until market trends are confirmed

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