BOJ Monetary Policy Navigator

We expect BoJ to leave policy on hold at October MPM; Ueda worried about delayed impact of tariffs

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We expect BoJ to leave policy on hold at October MPM; Ueda worried about delayed impact of tariffs

Key points
  • We expect BoJ to leave policy on hold at October MPM with 7-2 majority vote; Governor Ueda appears to want to wait a little longer to assess impact of US tariffs
  • Takaichi cabinet was inaugurated on October 21, and BoJ appears to be looking for best time to coordinate its views with new administration
  • We see Bank raising rates in January, but December hike also possible depending on circumstances

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