October MPM preview: BoJ expected to indicate that inflation is "at level consistent with" 2% target
We project BoJ will leave policy rate on hold at 1.25% at October meeting after raising rates in June and September
Bank seen indicating that underlying inflation is "at a level consistent with" 2% target, 13 years after it was announced
Policy conduct likely to continue to emphasize upside risks to prices for now; we anticipate additional rate hikes in December 2026 and April 2027