Forecasts

Our global economic and financial forecasts

Find out what our economists and strategists are expecting over coming quarters.

We finished second in the latest Bloomberg FX Forecast Accuracy Poll for G10 FX & 13 FX Majors in Q4 2025.

Latest FX forecast update: 02 March 2026
Latest G10 GDP & CPI forecast update: 27 February 2026

  • FX Rates

      Q1 2026 Q2 2026 Q3 2026 Q4 2026
    DXY 99.630 97.550 95.430 94.060
    USD/JPY 154.00 152.00 150.00 148.00
    EUR/USD 1.1500 1.1800 1.2100 1.2300
    GBP/USD 1.3070 1.3330 1.3600 1.3670
    USD/CNY 6.8500 6.8500 6.8300 6.8000
    AUD/USD 0.7000 0.7100 0.7200 0.7300
    NZD/USD 0.5900 0.6000 0.6100 0.6200
    USD/CAD 1.3700 1.3600 1.3500 1.3400
    USD/NOK 9.5650 9.4920 9.4210 9.3500
    USD/SEK 9.3910 9.0680 8.76000 8.4550
    USD/CHF 0.7830 0.7840 0.7560 0.7480
             
    USD/CZK 21.130 20.420 19.830 19.350
    USD/HUF 330.40 317.80 305.80 304.90
    USD/PLN 3.6870 3.5760 3.4630 3.3900
    USD/RON 4.4350 4.3310 4.2310 4.1870
    USD/RUB 74.940 75.860 77.660 80.650
    USD/ZAR 16.400 16.000 15.600 15.300
    USD/TRY 44.500 46.500 48.500 50.000
             
    USD/INR 92.000 93.000 93.500 93.500
    USD/IDR 16950 17000 16850 16700
    USD/MYR 3.9500 3.9000 3.8000 3.7500
    USD/PHP 58.800 58.000 57.700 57.900
    USD/SGD 1.2750 1.2600 1.2500 1.2400
    USD/KRW 1450.0 1440.0 1425.0 1400.0
    USD/TWD 31.500 31.200 30.900 30.600
    USD/THB 31.400 31.200 30.700 30.500
    USD/VND 26300 26400 26500 26600
             
    USD/ARS 1450.0 1500.00 1600.0 1700.0
    USD/BRL 5.3000 5.1500 5.2500 5.2500
    USD/CLP 890.00 870.00 850.00 830.00
    USD/MXN 17.500 17.250 17.000 16.750
             
    USD/SAR 3.7500 3.7500 3.7500 3.7500
    USD/EGP 47.900 49.800 51.300 53.000
  • Growth (GDP)

      2025 2026 2027
    US 2.2% 2.5% 2.2%
    Japan 1.1% 0.5% 1.0%
    Euro area 1.5% 1.2% 1.4%
       Germany 0.2% 1.0% 1.5%
       France 0.9% 1.0% 1.0%
       Italy 0.5% 0.9% 0.8%
    UK 1.4% 1.0% 1.4%
    Switzerland 1.3% 1.1% 1.4%
    Norway 1.8% 1.6% 1.7%
    Sweden 1.8% 2.2% 2.0%
    Canada 1.7% 1.1% 1.6%
    Australia 2.0% 2.1% 2.1%
    New Zealand 0.4% 2.2% 2.5%
           
      2025 2026 2027
    China 5.0% 4.9% 4.8%
    India 7.6% 7.0% 6.8%
    Indonesia 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
    Malaysia 4.7% 4.5% 4.5%
    Philippines 4.7% 5.1% 5.4%
    Singapore 4.4% 3.2% 2.4%
    South Korea 1.0% 2.0% 2.2%
    Taiwan 8.6% 3.8% 2.7%
    Thailand 2.2% 1.8% 2.2%
    Vietnam 7.7% 8.2% 7.5%
           
      2025 2026 2027
    Bahrain 2.8% 3.2% 3.0%
    Czech Republic 2.4% 2.2% 2.3%
    Egypt 4.3% 4.6% 4.9%
    Hungary 0.5% 2.2% 2.4%
    Iraq 0.5% 3.6% 1.8%
    Israel 2.6% 4.1% 3.5%
    Jordan 2.7% 2.9% 2.9%
    Kenya 4.9% 5.0% 5.1%
    Kuwait 2.6% 3.6% 2.8%
    Morocco 4.6% 4.1% 4.0%
    Nigeria 3.9% 4.2% 3.9%
    Oman 2.7% 3.6% 3.3%
    Poland 3.3% 3.3% 2.9%
    Romania 1.0% 1.4% 2.8%
    Qatar 2.8% 5.6% 7.5%
    Russia 0.7% 1.0% 1.2%
    Saudi Arabia 4.3% 4.2% 3.4%
    South Africa 1.2% 1.4% 1.7%
    Turkey 3.6% 3.6% 3.9%
    Ukraine 1.9% 3.5% 4.1%
    UAE 4.7% 5.0% 4.4%
  • Inflation (CPI)

      2025 2026 2027
    US 2.7% 2.5% 2.3%
    Japan 3.2% 1.8% 2.0%
    Euro area 2.1% 1.8% 1.9%
       Germany 2.3% 2.0% 2.0%
       France 0.9% 1.1% 1.7%
       Italy 1.6% 1.3% 1.8%
    UK 3.4% 2.4% 2.0%
    Switzerland 0.2% 0.5% 0.9%
    Norway 3.1% 2.5% 2.3%
    Sweden 0.7% 1.0% 2.0%
    Canada 2.1% 2.2% 2.1%
    Australia 2.8% 3.4% 2.7%
    New Zealand 2.8% 2.4% 2.1%
           
      2025 2026 2027
    China 0.1% 0.8% 1.0%
    India 1.6% 3.8% 4.3%
    Indonesia 1.9% 2.8% 2.8%
    Malaysia 1.6% 1.6% 1.8%
    Philippines 1.8% 2.4% 2.8%
    Singapore 0.9% 1.2% 1.5%
    South Korea 2.1% 2.0% 2.0%
    Taiwan 1.5% 1.6% 1.6%
    Thailand -0.1% 0.5% 1.2%
    Vietnam 3.3% 3.8% 4.3%
           
      2025 2026 2027
    Bahrain 0.2% 1.1% 1.5%
    Czech Republic 2.5% 2.2% 2.3%
    Egypt 17.4% 11.8% 9.4%
    Hungary 4.5% 3.5% 3.3%
    Iraq  1.5% 2.5% 1.7%
    Israel 3.1% 2.1% 2.1%
    Jordan  2.0% 2.3% 2.2%
    Kenya 4.0% 5.0% 5.1%
    Kuwait  2.3% 2.3% 2.2%
    Morocco 1.2% 1.8% 2.0%
    Nigeria 22.2% 19.0% 14.9%
    Oman 0.9% 1.5% 1.8%
    Poland 3.8% 2.7% 2.7%
    Romania 7.3% 6.6% 3.8%
    Qatar 0.3% 2.2% 2.3%
    Russia 8.9% 5.4% 4.3%
    Saudi Arabia 2.1% 2.0% 2.0%
    South Africa 3.3% 3.5% 3.3%
    Turkey 34.9% 24.9% 19.7%
    Ukraine 12.8% 7.4% 5.7%
    UAE 1.6% 2.0% 2.0%
  • Policy Rates

      Q1 2026 Q2 2026 Q3 2026 Q4 2026
    Fed 3.63% 3.13% 2.88% 2.88%
    BoJ 0.75% 1.00% 1.00% 1.25%
    ECB 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00%
    BoE 3.75% 3.50% 3.25% 3.25%
    SNB 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
    Norges Bank 4.00% 3.75% 3.75% 3.50%
    Riksbank 1.75% 1.75% 1.75% 1.75%
    BoC 2.25% 2.25% 2.25% 2.25%
    RBA 3.85% 4.10% 4.10% 4.10%
    RBNZ 2.25% 2.25% 2.25% 2.50%
             
      Q1 2026 Q2 2026 Q3 2026 Q4 2026
    China 7-day Reverse Repo 1.30% 1.10% 1.10% 1.10%
    China 1-year LPR 2.90% 2.70% 2.70% 2.70%
    India 5.25% 5.25% 5.25% 5.25%
    Indonesia 4.25% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00%
    Malaysia 2.75% 2.75% 2.75% 2.75%
    Philippines 4.25% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00%
    Singapore 1.14% 1.24% 1.38% 1.49%
    South Korea 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%
    Taiwan 2.00% 2.00% 1.88% 1.88%
    Thailand 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00%
    Vietnam 4.50% 4.50% 4.75% 4.75%
             
  • Govt. Bond Yields

      Q1 2026 Q2 2026 Q3 2026 Q4 2026
    US 2-Year Govt. Yield 3.50% 3.25% 3.00% 2.88%
    US 10-Year Govt. Yield 4.13% 4.00% 3.75% 3.63%
             
    Euro-zone 2-Year Govt. Yield 2.10% 2.10% 2.15% 2.20%
    Euro-zone 10-Year Govt. Yield 2.80% 2.70% 2.65% 2.60%
             
    Japan 2-Year Govt. Yield 1.30% 1.40% 1.50% 1.60%
    Japan 10-Year Govt. Yield 2.30% 2.50% 2.50% 2.60%
             
    UK 2-Year Govt. Yield 3.70% 3.55% 3.35% 3.30%
    UK 10-Year Govt. Yield 4.40% 4.30% 4.20% 4.10%

     

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